November 16, 2008

Possible Contenders in Next Year's Elections

MABB © ®

If the new Constitution is approved next year in January, which is expected to happen, the next step will be to pass laws to start implementing the new system. After that, the other significant event will be the general elections in December 2009.

For the latter, there are already groups trying to get together to offer an alternative to MAS.

For example, Samuel Doria Medina, leader of the political party UN, wants to start a group called National Alliance. For that he invited all leaders who want to participate. He also wants to directly elect the person who will lead this front into the elections.

The Santa Cruz Prefect, Ruben Costas, also wants to create an alternative, the National Ample Front. His idea is to group together regional parties to promote autonomy as a central issue.

In addition, in Santa Cruz there are two other groups wanting to organize. One group will be an initiative from the Santa Cruz faction in Congress. Those Senators and Deputies who once represented PODEMOS, which, as of today, it seems destined to extinction. The other project is denominated Equalitarian Collective, which will have a leftist leaning.

In the Andes, as it was to be expected, Felipe Quispe wants to make a comeback with his party, Pachakuti Indigenous Movement. He wants to dispute the leadership with Evo Morales.

Also, former leader of FSUTCB and CSUTCB, activist Alejo Veliz, has created Pulso (Peoples for Liberty and Sovereignty). It is believed he will be taking part on the next elections.

Another front from the Altiplano (high plateau) is the Potosi Alianza Social (Social Alliance) lead by Mayor Rene Joaquino. He has already taken part in the last elections. It is also to be expected for him to take part in the oncomong elections. He has a commanding lead in Potosi.

On the side of the traditional political parties, the MNR is currently trying to clean up house and get ready for next year. I am expecting also that MIR, to a most regional level, will be taking part in next years elections.

There is an unconfirmed rumor that former Presidents Carlos Mesa and Rodriguez Velze, together with former Vicepresident Victor Hugo Cardenas, will be organizing a group to participate in the elections next year. The rumor is going on strong because neither party, especially Mesa, wants to deny it.

Of course, MAS will be taking part as the current major political force to reckon with.

That seems to be the future political landscape. Notice that there are few political parties and lots of alliances. This is attributed to the still going on crisis in the Bolivian political party system. A new animal has appeared, the civic alliance.


Gringo said...

The altiplano photo at the top of your page is tremendous.

Ron in L.A. said...


Sorry for posting this in your comments, I couldn't find an email address for you but thought this might be of interest to you.

Ron Dubin

dv said...

My feeling is that if the opposition doesn't form a united front, they don't stand a chance.

mabb said...

Gringo: Yes, the mountain is the Huayna Potosi, one of the highest mountains in Bolivia. It has a nice legend to it. Read it here in Spanish.

Ron: Thanks for the tip. The pictures are beautiful. Can I use some of them sometimes? :-)))

dv: You are right, and I think that is exactly what they are trying to do. The Conalde is in the process of transforming itself into a political party.

Ron in L.A. said...

No problem, drop me an email Miguel and we'll work something out.


Anonymous said...

"PODEMOS, which, as of today, it seems destined to extinction"

- good riddance ... the candidacy of Jorge Quiroga amounted to political malpractice on their side. if moderates want to be competitive, they should field a mestizo candidate with a platform focused on national unity. the self-styled 'white' elites in Bolivia need to overcome their racial hangups...i don't have much confidence in Medina's ability to accomplish this goal, however