January 04, 2008

More Polls: Is the Government's New Constitution Approved or Disapproved?

MABB © ®

Angus Reid has a poll showing the approval or disapproval of the government's new Constitution.
Angus Reid's Global Monitor says, "Bolivian adults are divided in their assessment of the country’s proposed body of law, according to a poll by Ipsos Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado. 39 per cent of respondents approve of the new Bolivian Constitution, while 41 per cent disapprove."

The numbers follow below.

Polling Data

Would you say you approve or disapprove of the new Bolivian Constitution?

Approve

39%

Disapprove

41%

Not sure

20%

Source: Ipsos Apoyo, Opinión y Mercado
Methodology: Interviews with 1,025 Bolivian adults in La Paz, El Alto, Cochabamba and Santa Cruz, conducted from Dec. 11 to Dec. 18, 2007. Margin of error is 3.1 per cent.

For more interesting polls, on Bolivia, as well as other parts of the world, pay AR a visit.

4 comments:

Anonymous said...

These poll results look just like the previous post on the legal/illegal constitution. There might be a slight movement over the 10-12 days back toward accepting the government and its constitution (and of course there are all the usual limitations on typical polls in Bolivia), as people make as much sense as they can of what happened in Sucre and after. These results seem to map onto recent approval of Evo's government:
Approve/Legal = core supporters. Disapprove/illegal = core opposition.
Not sure = people who have voted for Evo or said they approve of him, are willing to give him a chance, but are not committed and may change.

In my gringo opinion, the constitution is neither legal or illegal (that is, in violation of the law). It is for now only a political document. I would answer "not sure."

I would also say that autonomies will not be real until they are negotiated into a legitimate constitution.

Thanks for the blog, MABB. And congratulations to the other Miguel. Cheap advice: sleep a bit more and cut back on blogging 10% or so, as needed.

--John

miguel (mabb) said...

John: Thanks for the kind words. As for the advice, it's good advice, but hard to follow in these 'modern societies' where the only thing that counts is how much you have achieved. :-)

I would say, the new constitution was born on very, very weak legal grounds. From the moment that the opposition was excluded by literally not letting them into the forum (supporters outside the buildings wouldn't let anyone in if they were not ready to vote for the constitution), modifying the law to open up the opportunity to move the assembly to Oruro, forgetting about the internal regulations and voting with simple majority, etc., etc., etc.)

But, then again, the government and its supporters are not the only ones doing 'illegal' things, as you rightly point it out. The autonomy resolutions are also 'illegal', in the sense that they were not born from within the law. A region cannot just one day claim autonomy or independence from a system and country or state to which it is legally binded and has been for the last 200 years, at least.

But, yet again, I think I remember a saying: Laws were made to be broken. So, let's see what comes from all this mess in Bolivia. I hope Bolivia re-invents itself for the good using democracy, and shies away from authoritarianism.

Norman said...

I really wish Angus Reid would include a follow up question, i.e. "Have you read the proposed constitution?"

mcentellas said...

Norman:

Angus Reid only reports the polls, which were conducted by Apoyo Opinion y Mercado (a reputable Lat Am polling firm). And, yes, they asked those questions:

http://www.mcentellas.com/archives/2007/12/en_of_year_polls.html