February 23, 2007

Approval Ratings for President and Prefects

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Evo Morales has been loosing support as of late, but recent surveys indicate that he has gotten back on the good track. This graph from La Razon, shows his approval rating increasing six points to 65%. A mild, sober increase, but still dramatically down from the 80s he was showing in 2005. Still, I don't understand why the people of Opinion & Mercado, the company doing the surveys, concentrate in the eje troncal (central axis) of major cities. In previous posts I argued that they might be loosing valuable information if they did not include the rural areas as well, as there is a significant difference in thinking among the two (here and here).

On the other hand, the prefects are doing just well. Looking at the graph below you can appreciate the comfortable support the Prefect of Santa Cruz, Ruben Costas, has. All in all, the opposition Prefects have leads, with the Prefects of La Paz, Paredes and of Cochabamba, Reyes Villa, just over the 50% mark. However, the one who must worry more is Manfred Reyes Villa. His support has plummeted from the high 80s to the low 40s in three months in 2006. Ironic to think that the recent disturbances in Cochabamba may have helped him recover in this front.

However, the two graphs must be take for what they are, just two pictures in time.