October 25, 2006

Morales May Confirm His "Toy" Status

MABB © ®
Very fresh developments, because Venezuela (Chavez and Co.) cannot gain 2/3 support for its candidacy to the UN Security Council this year, Chavez has proposed Evo Morales to take Venezuela's place in the elections.

According to the governmental news agency, Morales talked to Chavez who told him he will propose Bolivia as replacement candidate for the UN Security Council seat.

“Anoche me llamó el embajador, primero, y segundo el comandante Chávez y me dice que como no ha podido Venezuela conseguir dos tercios para el Consejo de Seguridad y el compañero Hugo Chávez dice que para buscar consenso él deja la candidatura a Bolivia”

Bolivia says it may be a U.N. candidate
AP via Yahoo! News Tue, 24 Oct 2006 7:30 PM PDT
Bolivia's president said Tuesday that his country could emerge as an alternative candidate for a seat on the U.N. Security Council to break the deadlock between Venezuela and U.S.-backed Guatemala.

Venezuela ponders passing Security Council bid to Bolivia
CNN.com Tue, 24 Oct 2006 6:35 PM PDT
The president of Bolivia announced that his country may have a chance at obtaining a much coveted spot on the U.N. Security Council, the body within the United Nations charged with maintaining global peace and security.

Guatemala says won't make way for Bolivia in U.N. bid
Reuters via Yahoo! News Tue, 24 Oct 2006 6:27 PM PDT
Guatemala, locked in a struggle with Venezuela for a seat on the U.N. Security Council, said on Tuesday it would not back down to make way for Bolivia as a possible compromise candidate.

Venezuela to give up UN candidacy for Bolivia: Morales
AFP via Yahoo! News Tue, 24 Oct 2006 4:49 PM PDT
Venezuela has agreed to drop out of the hotly contested race for Latin America's open seat on the UN Security Council and asked Bolivia to run in its place, Bolivia's president said.

Chavez asks Bolivia to run for U.N. seat
The Washington Times Tue, 24 Oct 2006 9:55 PM PDT
From combined dispatches LA PAZ, Bolivia -- As the U.N. General Assembly prepared to resume voting to fill a two-year-term open Security Council seat, Bolivian leftist President Evo Morales announced that his ally, Venezuelan President Hugo Chavez, has agreed to drop out of the hotly contested race with Guatemala for the seat and has asked Bolivia to run in its place, "Comrade Chavez says that to

Bolivia President:Would Be Backed By Venezuela President In UN Bid
Nasdaq Tue, 24 Oct 2006 4:41 PM PDT
CARACAS (AP)--Bolivia's president said Tuesday that Venezuelan leader Hugo Chavez would throw his support behind the Andean country if Venezuela is unable to win enough votes to defeat U.S.-backed Guatemala for a seat on the U.N. Security Council.

Venezuela to give up UN candidacy for Bolivia: Morales
New Kerala Tue, 24 Oct 2006 10:42 PM PDT
La Paz (Bolivia), Oct 25: Venezuela has agreed to drop out of the hotly contested race for Latin America's open seat on the UN Security Council and asked Bolivia to run in its place, Bolivia's president has said.

Chavez supports Bolivia in seeking UN Security Council seat: Bolivian president
People's Daily Tue, 24 Oct 2006 6:58 PM PDT
Bolivian President Evo Morales said on Tuesday that his Venezuelan counterpart Hugo Chavez had agreed to support Bolivia in the race for the non-permanent seat on the UN Security Council, according to reports from the Bolivian capital La Paz.

Venezuela to give up UN candidacy for Bolivia: Morales
Channel NewsAsia Tue, 24 Oct 2006 3:30 PM PDT
LA PAZ : Venezuela has agreed to drop out of the hotly contested race for Latin America's open seat on the UN Security Council and asked Bolivia to run in its place, Bolivia's president said on Tuesday.

My question is, will Bolivia confirm its status as Chavez's "toy" by going along with this proposal or will it take this opportunity to increase Bolivia's international status?

A synical view would be to expect that, one, Chavez hasn't thought of this because he has the interest of Bolivia in mind. Presumably, he has an agenda and he has seen this move as another way to realize it. Not in the interest of Bolivia, but in his own interest. And two, he can chose to play the "solidarity" role and do everything Chavez wants him to do. In a way, representing Chavez in the seat. The alternative would be to
go the independent way, and use this opportunity to further the interests of Bolivia and the region.

7 comments:

mcentellas said...

Is anyone going to better trust the (current) Bolivian government to discuss issues like ongoing genocide in Darfur, a nuclear North Korea, and the possibility of a nuclear Iran? I doubt it. I'm sure the final compromise candidate will be Uruguay.

I also frequently cringe when I hear Evo refer to the "comandante Chavez" (is he admitting that he's Chavez's subordinate?!).

miguel (mabb) said...

Well, in my opinion, countries don't get picked for a seat to the UNSC for their ability to discuss, constructively, objectively, etc., the issues at hand. The country that gets the most votes assured beforehand are the ones getting elected. In this scenario, it is very well forseeable that Bolivia would end up elected.

And, yes, I think he has already said that Chavez was some kind of father figure for him. Or, am I wrong? Correct me please! :-)

mcentellas said...

My money's on Uruguay to get the seat. If 106 countries voted *against* Venezuela (which lost to US-backed Guatemala), I'm not certain they'd vote for a Venezuela-backed candidate (especially when it's being presented as "Venezuela lite").

miguel (mabb) said...

Well, I was reading that Chile and Peru, two countries who were uncommitted (i.e. abstained from voting) were going to back Bolivia's bid.

I mean, it sounds plausible to place Bolivia as a country of consensus. I think, not everybody sees Bolivia = Venezuela, or if they think that way, they might have something to gain by voting for Bolivia and not for Venezuela.

If voting for Venezuela is too direct and controversial, voting for Bolivia will be indirect and (again) uncommitted. This move might be benefitial for many countries not wanting to vote for Venezuela so not to anger or go against the US, but might be weary of the US' intentions.

The think is, if Bolivia is elected to the seat, will it play Hugo's "toy" or would it have its own head (at least partially).

mcentellas said...

Perhaps. Though Bolivia doesn't even have a permanent representative to the UN ... so there are also questions of competence & technical capacity.

miguel (mabb) said...

Is that right? I didn't know Bolivia did not have a permanent rep in the UN.

I agree, competence and technical experience is an issue, specially for this "new" government.

But, does it really matter? What does a representative to the UNSC does anyway? One that is not permanent.

They don't have vote power and no way to influence the permanent five. What is more, I would venture to say that these countries limit themselves to either support or not sopport one of the five permanent. More they cannot do.

mcentellas said...

True. But many of the UNSC sessions are behind closed doors, discussing very sensitive matters. One of the reasons why I think Venezuela didn't get more support, is that many wonder about its ability to handle such serious issues seriously. I thin such concerns are more elevated with Evo's government. But stranger things have happened (Bangladesh was elected in 2000, despite being a pariah state).