November 02, 2005

Elections Are On Again: December 18

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President Rodriguez issued a "special" Supreme Decree to guarantee next December elections. Decree number 28429 establishes the date of the elections (December 18, 2005), provides for the distribution of the Congressional seats and establishes January 23 as inauguration day.

In light of Congress' miserable failure to come up with a compromise to re-distribute the seats according to the Constitution, President Rodriguez took the bull by the horns and did it himself. I have the impression he really doesn't want to be President beyond January 23. El Diario has a nice table showing how the distribution goes. In summary, Santa Cruz got 3 seats more and Cochabamba got one more. La Paz lost two and Oruro and Potosi, each lost one seat.


Distribución de escaños

Departamento

Ant.

Act.

Dif.

La Paz

31

29

-2

Santa Cruz

22

25

+3

Cochabamba

18

19

+1

Potosí

15

14

-1

Oruso

10

9

-1

Chuquisaca

11

11

Tarija

9

9

Beni

9

9

Pando

5

5

Total

130

130





There is a good chance the elections will take place in the said date. The three major candidates have said they will back up Rodriguez's decision. Most importantly, Evo Morales has stopped threatening to go to war (better said, armed conflict) if there were no elections. Moreover, the radicals in El Alto have also said they will not interfere with the elections date.

So, It looks the elections are on. Or not? Well, there is a small chance the Santa Cruz faction files another legal suit to force Congress and the government to give them 4 seats instead of 3. We'll see.

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