Bolivia's politics, economy and society
I do dig that Morales picture - that metal staff he has looks kind of like his pet raven or something. Victorian!
He is going to win the elections. But the problems are not going to finish in Bolivia. Because, if the MAS bases don't mess up his goverment, Santa Cruz, Tarija and all the others who don't like his politics is going to. Poor, poor Bolivia... with your endless problems...
I am pretty skeptical about the ability of Evo Morales to lead the country in terms of the burden of carrying the severly damaged Bolivian structure. Furthermore, I thhink Linera, even if he is a capable political obserers, lacks the pragmatism that is needed to carry out the impending reforms to the Goverment. However, I´ll say this much, even as I am not a fan of some of their more radical policies and their contempt of Foreign Direct Investment, if Morales´s administration falters and falls as a direct result of not meeting the radical expectation of its core of followers, which in turn is truly where he came to critical-mass his popularity among the underrepresented, then this will give us 2 positive results; first in terms of percption of representation the mestizo and cholo population will feel that they are finally at the possibility of controlling important instances of goverment, and secondly, and perhaps more importantly it will give the head-less pseudo-left/poulist movement a chance to cultivate a intellectual elite that can grapple with the demands of economy, social disparity and globalization, with out compromising integrity and sovereignty but gaining pace with the region and an international scenario that is increasingly more competitive. This new cholo or mestizo elite will hopefully gather enough cumulative understanding of the poverty of the average Bolivian and combine it with technocratic innovation for our goverment and institutions to truly serve the majority of Bolivians.
Interesting. But, I have to say that I think that perception by Evo's supporters (indigenous and mestizos) is already there. That is the engine driving Evo's apparent lead in the polls. Let's not forget that MAS is part of a project to gain power by the indigenous and mestizo population (they call themselves the marginalized). They've been saying it all along.If Evo gets to the presidency, it will be a very interesting political experiment for political scientists and perhaps a disaster for the country itself. I say perhaps, because it would be premature for me to say so and I don't want to underestimate Evo's ability to govern.
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