August 22, 2005

New Polls

MABB © ®
New polls came out in La Razon showing who is ahead in the Bolivian elections effort. In this graph left we can see a head to head run between Tuto Quiroga (ASXXI), 22% and Evo Morales (MAS), 21%. However, I'd like to call your attention to the last two numbers. The first of the two is the number of voters who will not be voting/will vote null or will vote blank (protest vote). This number is almost as much as the support for Tuto and equal to the number of support for Evo, 21%. The undecided are a mere 7%.

As my friend Miguel Centellas over in Ciao! has said in his post, one thing is clear, no one will get the 50 + 1 per cent of the vote needed in order to be elected president next December 4th. Therefore the decision will be made by the newly elected Congress. Once again concurring with Miguel Centellas at Ciao!, I think local candidates for deputies and senators will be crucial. It'll depend on how will power be divided in the new Congress.
This other graph on the right shows what is the standing of President Rodriguez's popularity. As the graph shows, it has gone up 8 points. What does that mean? I think now much, as approval ratings for Bolivian presidents tend to change from one day to the next.

That's just about it. I just wanted to share with you the poll numbers. Now back to work!